I know I shouldn’t argue on the internet
And there’s no way I’m ever going to educate morons like Thewriterinblack,(Known herafter as Tinkerbell, because only “Believing” is meaningful to him) who persists in hiding behind Sarah Hoyt’s skirts because he’s not man enough to come here and take his medicine, and possibly have a fact or two jammed into his thick skull.
On the other hand, there may be people that are legitimately ignorant, and for those people it’s worth having this conversation. Plus a couple of people have come along- people like Scipio Americanus who is, of course, actually working in industry, and unlike Tinkerbell, has some idea what heavy industry is.
But first, like I spoke about my cellphone before, I want to talk about something else. In this case, Dermestid beetles.
The dermestid beetle is a pretty good model on which to base nanites. They are fairly efficient little critters, they can easily be raised in the home, and they can be called upon to do a very specific type of a job that we need done. Here’s a video of that. Warning, not for the weak of stomach.
Dermestid beetles are very efficient- if you don’t want to follow the link- at removing flesh, cartilage- in fact any non-hard organic material, and are used by professionals to clean animal bones for taxidermy or scientific study. They need to be kept healthy, of course, and they need to be fed, and they require care if they are to do their jobs. You have to care for them all the time, even when they’re not working for you. You have to keep them clean and keep them fed and it’s not easy.
The same, of course, would be true of Nanites. Since they would exist at a molecular level, they would be much more difficult to maintain, you would need the most incredible machinery just to see them, and if one or two managed to get their instructions mixed up you could come home tomorrow to find a giant pile of rust where your car used to be. Assuming you could afford to own them privately, which you probably could not. A technology capable of assembling something at a molecular level, in quantities of billions you’d need for any of it to be effective, or even remotely useful, would be prohibitively expensive and require expensive and complex equipment to maintain.
So far the discussion centered on that sort of thing, because that was my initial example- you cannot make a locomotive engine block in a garage. Of course Tinkerbell took exception to that, because apparently he loves being wrong- I don’t know. What I do know, is that my original comment on the subject was clear: heavy industry will always remain with us, and if we’re not doing it in our country, someone else will be.
Let’s look at a very few permanent and unchangeable examples.
Oil and gas. Oil and gas exist where they exist, and do not exist where they do not exist. In order to separate them from the planet which contains them, expensive, large, and heavy equipment is required.
It is possible for an individual to drill for oil himself, on a personal basis, and there are people who do, to this day. I myself have helped set up one of these rigs. Still, you cannot get oil out of the ground, where no oil exists.
So: Oil and gas. Oil and gas are two heavy industries that are heavy industries, and will always remain heavy industries. Heavy equipment will always be required to extract oil and gas, and that equipment can only be made by heavy industry.
Is it possible that alternative energy sources will arise that make natural gas and crude oil unnecessary? Possibly, but nothing that moves runs without bearings and/or some lubrication and both the plastics in “Dry” bearings and the grease in normal bearings is made from crude oil, so that will never go away so long as mechanisms of any kind exist. Oh, and the lions share of plastics of all kinds? Crude oil. So your ipad, your phone, almost eveyrthing you see in your car, a lot of cloth, a number of home furnishings, and a powerful lot of adhesives, too, all those things don’t happen without the oil coming out of the ground, and it has to come out of the ground where it is, and not in your backyard. Unless your backyard happens to be an oilfield that is, and even then, heavy equipment.
Another related heavy industry is mining. In the quantities raw materials are required, they cannot and never will be a ctottage industry, even if there were deposits of coppper, nickel, coal, and uranium under your carport. Mining is a heavy industry, and can and will never be anything but a heavy industry, because of the nature of mining. Is it possible that at some point some other method of obtaining those materials will present itself? Absolutely. It could begin raining particles of copper on demand, or we could develop a way to turn lead into any other element. Which would make gold pretty worthless.
No, there is no substitute, when you need large amounts of ore or coal or salt or- or hell, anything that comes out of the ground, you have two invariables: You must take them out of the ground where they are in the ground, and you must have heavy equipment to extract them and heavy equipment to transport them to where they are needed. And then most of the time you need heavy equipment to turn that ore into refined material, or that coal/oil/gas into electricity or plastics or even motive power.
Once you have established that the heavy industries provide nearly everything from which nearly everything is made, once you understand that only heavy equipment can do- quite literally- the heavy lifting, you understand that there are a lot of things that cottage industry will and can replace, but heavy industry will always be with us. And all of this is even before- in fact way before- you ever even begin to discuss the practical and logisticalimpossibility of making engine blocks any other way than the way they are now, which is only a miniscule part of the equation.
Don’t try telling that to tinkerbell. he knows if he believes hard enough his wishes will all come true.
Edited to add: Silicon greybeard is talking about this as well, you should go read. Ill add a link when i get home.
25 comments Og | Uncategorized

The brute forces managed by heavy industry processes are unimaginable to those who have never witnessed the ballet until one of those processes goes out of control and becomes the latest media drama.
Much respect for the people who keep the leviathan in check every day.
Yep. Perhaps a proto-type engine block (to use your example) could be made in the “small shop”. But the cost, and minimal output would prevent it from being anything but a curiosity.
To make anything, consistently, and on a large, mass production, scale is going to require heavy industry. Sure there was steel, long before USS came into being, but not at any level worth noting. And there was the removal of natural resources…but not to the scale needed that would supply the manufacturer who produces the steamship, the locomotive…hell…the tank, plane, and tons of guns and ammo to arm a standing army, navy, and air force.
For that you need heavy industry. And the man power to keep it running. I don’t get why this is so hard to understand…but than I am an ol retired Sailor…what do I know?
It’s too long. I don’t feel like reading something that long. Post something shorter.
I am going to run out to my garage and fire one of these up,
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heavy_Press_Program
Whoop’s, the closet that I can come to that is a 12 pound sledge and a anvil.
Good Article.
I would hazard Tinkerbell is missing to key elements to your arguments.
One is Scale. While small time extraction can be done with pick and shovel, we left those modes behind as we developed tools.
The other element Tinkerbell missis is Tools. Sure, I suppose you could build an engine with hand tools. But the result would be barely able to run and produce limited horse power at best. Witness the first engines at some retro farm implement show. those where built using smaller tools more or less by hand. But even those engines required more that a hammer, saw and file to build (all three of those are tools as well)
What Tinkerbell wants with all his heart is a existence that cannot scale to more than a few thousand humans. And if we, as a species, are that size again, we will not be needing tools of the scale we are using now.
Basically Tinkerbell and his ilk all think the glass is half empty and we need to stop drinking.
Luddites all.
Mao tried turning steel production into a cottage industry demanding peasants set up smelters in the back yard. It consumed billions of tons of fuel and never produced any useful metals.
http://asianhistory.about.com/od/asianhistoryfaqs/f/greatleapfaq.htm
You need heavy machinery to manufacture the heavy machinery you cite. You need big plants with big machines to make the trucks and trailers to haul the heavy machinery. It takes heavy machinery to produce the steel, to heat treat, to machine, to grind to assemble a simple ball bearing that allows the machine to rotate and move. Tinkerbell is an idiot.
He hangs out at Hoyt’s? What does he think is going to build those starships she writes about? Throwing fairy dust at an asteroid ain’t gonna do it. And even the Rocket Ship Galileo crew started with an existing military rocket :)
Paul: luddites and malthusians. I bet Pascal will come along to expand on that concept very soon.
Yep. He really goes to town on that group.
This off topic, but it something we all need to read. Except tinkerbell, he would not understand.
https://www.billwhittle.com/commentary/bamboo-spears
Lol. Well done paul!
Thank the Lord, I can see part of my work is done here.
It remains sad that there are so many tinkerbells out there. Minds so inculcated with Malthusian misanthropy that only the Lord’s justice will penetrate their calloused souls; and by then too late.
Nice job in response to one who could be dismissed, but whose views, arguably influenced by anti-Anericanism (too long explanation), helped focus your own vision. The Lord moves in mysterious ways.
As I said, and I’ll say again: It isn’t that I have any disdain for these ijits, I just like to put the truth out there in case someone genuinely wants to learn. Most people are far past fixing, as I have often said. And Paul: I’m glad SOMEONE was paying attention all those times I said “Increment!”
An here I though you where having trouble spelling…..
Take Tinkerbell to a factory where locomotives are manufactured, and ask him how in the f**k ANY of that is going to run at the cottage industry level?
Better yet, drag him around a modern shipyard. You know, where the big ol’ ships are made. Got one right down here on the Gulf, in Gulfport, MS.
I’d love to see his face, when he’s confronted with a diesel engine that’s over three stories high?
And those aren’t even the truly big ships. Hyundai in South Korea makes some of the world’s biggest ship’s engines now, towering over four stories, with bore diameters in excess of eight ft. across.
Thing might only turn 200 RPM or such, but produce over 20,000 hp at the shaft.
Cottage industry? Sure, in Wonderland, where Alice drank the elixir. Funny, ain’t that where Tinkerbell’s from, in the first place?
Jim
Sunk New Dawn
Galveston, TX
Very thought provoking.
It is all a matter of faith.
He wishes it, imagines it to be possible so much, that no logic will move him.
A locomotive would though.
If wishes were horses, the Devil would be driving them.
…driving them, with US in the carriage, over the cliff.
wishes:
everyone has health insurance
nobody pollutes
bipartisanship for everything
media united by consensus
…
… endless credit
…
Sorry to be late to the party here, was away for a few days.
People hold up Japan as examples of cottage industries. Sure, you can ASSEMBLE a rifle (for instance) in your garage, I’ve done so after disassembling mine for cleaning. Sure, with the proper equipment (lathes, mills, etc) you can even make the parts of the rifle in your fairly-large garage. You can’t make the stuff the rifle parts are MADE of (i.e. steel) in any meaningful quantity in your garage, not to mention manufacturing the lathes, mills etc mentioned above.
Sure, the Japanese made steel, very good steel, before industrialization. Only the very wealthy (Samurai) could afford it, and even they only had small quantities of it which performed double duty as weapons and badges of rank. I, personally, probably own more steel than a whole battlefield full of samurai warriors.
Cottage industry = steel valuable enough to use only for elite warriors and serves as badge of rank. Heavy industry = steel cheap enough to make BEER CANS out of (before it was replaced by aluminum for that purpose).
Nicely said Mark.
And the swords of those samurai- made often with a level of craft that’s actually artistry- were made of steel of lower carbon content than the leaf springs in a rusting-in-a-field truck. Because that was the best they could produce by the methods they had.
To make steel of consistent quality in quantity, it requires the crucibles big enough(and the tech and tools and material to make them) and amounts of iron and alloying elements in sufficient quantity and energy enough to melt it all together and then cast and forge them; ALL of which requires the tools and materials to make those tools…
We’re currently on the tip of a spear that’s taken mankind’s entire life to make, and most people have no idea what all is required back up the line to allow us to live as we do; I really doubt that nannites are going to become anything like Tinkerbelle thinks in our lifetimes.
Or our kids, likely their kids.
Edmonston Pumping Plant:
80,000hp per motor
Total installed horse power: 1,120,000
Power consumption: 835MW
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Edmonston_Pumping_Plant
Hell, them cottage industries need heavy industry just to have water to flush their toilets.
Clueless bastid.